| |
|
Welcome to KnowledgeSutra - Dear Guest | |
The Weather Man
Started by Ryo, Dec 07 2005 11:32 PM
12 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 07 December 2005 - 11:32 PM
Ok so here we are up in connecticut. last friday a huge noreaster was predicted for our area. like 10 to 12 inches of snow. the time came closer like saterday night and they said 6 inches then sunday night adn they said like 3 inches so im all worked up about this snow storm and am excited because i might get to sleep 2 hours late but i wake up monday morinig and not one snaw flake fell the ground was bare. Y do the weather men always exadrate about things they make un educated guesses about how much snow or rain will come and nothing ever comes and it gets me really mad
#2
Posted 08 December 2005 - 01:57 AM
Here they do the same thing. Although I wake up in the moring listening to the radio. There we're reports "I'm turning back would not recomend travel on the road" "Travel not recomended, RCMP suggest staying off Highway." ect. THen the weather guy says almost the entire Province is white out snow. Now I am all excited, because here it is december and you can still see the grass in some places, when I get upstairs, skys are clear, visability, yeah I can almost not see 10km!
#3
Posted 08 December 2005 - 02:06 AM
Well their computers tell them snow and then once the time gets closer they get a more accurate forcast and sometimes it is the oppossite of what they originally thought. In fact it normally happens that way. The same always happens here. They will predict a bunch of rain but it will be sunny. When they track hurricanes they had lots of problems so now they have a system that shows all the possible tracks it could take and a margin of error. Sometimes they are way off because they are relying on a computer and the closer it gets to the time of rain the more accurate predictions you recieve on how much we will get because there is a less possibility something can change.
#4
Posted 10 December 2005 - 03:37 PM
I know what you are saying. The weather people where I live are the biggest liers I have ever heard. They say its gonna be a nice 30 degree winter day and its around 10 degrees. They say its gonna be a nice sunny summer day and it rains all day. I do not see how false weather predictions make such good television. If you are not sure do not say anything and look at your weather map for a few more hours.
#5
Posted 10 December 2005 - 03:48 PM
Quote
I know what you are saying. The weather people where I live are the biggest liers I have ever heard. They say its gonna be a nice 30 degree winter day and its around 10 degrees. They say its gonna be a nice sunny summer day and it rains all day. I do not see how false weather predictions make such good television. If you are not sure do not say anything and look at your weather map for a few more hours
lol The weather man is supposed to make prediction. It isn't there fault they dropped out of school
#6
Posted 10 December 2005 - 05:16 PM
you know what i hate about weatherpeople?
They always say very happy:
tomorrow there will be a chance of 40% that it will rain.
then you can practicly say nothing!
its the same as 1% chance of rain.
Then when it rains, they would say. Ah damn, that would be that 1%.
so they'll always have something to fall back on.
So new idea:
Weatherman comes on stage and says:
Tomorrow there will be 26,9283928% chance that i will know what kind of weather we will get.
see you tomorrow!
They always say very happy:
tomorrow there will be a chance of 40% that it will rain.
then you can practicly say nothing!
its the same as 1% chance of rain.
Then when it rains, they would say. Ah damn, that would be that 1%.
so they'll always have something to fall back on.
So new idea:
Weatherman comes on stage and says:
Tomorrow there will be 26,9283928% chance that i will know what kind of weather we will get.
see you tomorrow!
#7
Posted 11 December 2005 - 09:01 PM
Same thing happens here..
I woke up Saturday, no idea that there was supposed to be anything exciting happening with the weather (when we get storms, its pretty well known before hand from everyone talking about it). But Saturday, I got up and was almost late for work because we had to drive 30km/h through a blizzard. Only 20cm, but still.. it'd be nice if they could predict these things a bit better :\
But its always been that way.. Just reverse anything the weather-people say. If they say it'll be a storm, ignore it. If they call for good weather, just stay home xP
I woke up Saturday, no idea that there was supposed to be anything exciting happening with the weather (when we get storms, its pretty well known before hand from everyone talking about it). But Saturday, I got up and was almost late for work because we had to drive 30km/h through a blizzard. Only 20cm, but still.. it'd be nice if they could predict these things a bit better :\
But its always been that way.. Just reverse anything the weather-people say. If they say it'll be a storm, ignore it. If they call for good weather, just stay home xP
#8
Posted 11 December 2005 - 09:55 PM
I once heard that if you believe in the weather man, you believe in Santa lol. I think that a lot of weathermen are good and are very accurate. But your typical channel 7 news weatherman doesn't exactly predict the weather accurately very often.
The Farmers Almanac is a pretty good weather predicter, but it is very sketchy and never precise. However, NOAA, is incredible predicting to the pinpoint of precision. When I have the time, I am on their website looking at their predictions. Hehe, but yeah, for the most part, they aren't that good.
The Farmers Almanac is a pretty good weather predicter, but it is very sketchy and never precise. However, NOAA, is incredible predicting to the pinpoint of precision. When I have the time, I am on their website looking at their predictions. Hehe, but yeah, for the most part, they aren't that good.
#9
Posted 12 December 2005 - 05:04 AM
The guys who actually run the computers that allow people to predict the weather are called meteorlogists. There is a science to their study. But the fact remains, we can not predict nature, even with the mathematical tools we have today.
The Chaos Theory (or one part of it) dictates that even the smallest amount of change can have big ramifications for other things. That means that until we study how this theory affects us, we will end up having problem predicting weather.
The Chaos Theory (or one part of it) dictates that even the smallest amount of change can have big ramifications for other things. That means that until we study how this theory affects us, we will end up having problem predicting weather.
#10
Posted 21 October 2009 - 05:30 AM
Ryo, on Dec 7 2005, 07:32 PM, said:
Ok so here we are up in connecticut. last friday a huge noreaster was predicted for our area. like 10 to 12 inches of snow. the time came closer like saterday night and they said 6 inches then sunday night adn they said like 3 inches so im all worked up about this snow storm and am excited because i might get to sleep 2 hours late but i wake up monday morinig and not one snaw flake fell the ground was bare. Y do the weather men always exadrate about things they make un educated guesses about how much snow or rain will come and nothing ever comes and it gets me really mad
Oh how I remember that snow storm very well. They had the forecast all screwed up. But it really was not the NWS fault though. If I remember right it was due to a cold front that had stalled sooner than they had thought it would. the area of low pressure aka the nore easter was to ride up the front but since it has stalled out, it had nothing to help push it along. that is where all the major snow came from. we had near a foot of the stuff here on the NJ shore in about a 12 hour time when they had only said we would get maybe 6 to 8 inches.
Reply to this topic

1 user(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users















